H ere's where Tammy is located today . Hurricane Tammy El Nino ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced modestly given that Friday night.
The storm strengthened into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual area for a cyclone to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy should turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has ended up being less particular. Tammy was initially expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer system assistance is now suggesting that the storm may wander around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Cyclone Katrina (August 2005) became a big and extremely effective cyclone that caused enormous damage and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest cyclone to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Cyclone Katrina was because of flooding triggered by engineering flaws in the flood protection system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, in addition to large locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone warnings have actually now been provided for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That indicates cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the most recent cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy must spread out throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those impacts will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Typhoon Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and cyclone and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, however it still will be a hurricane that could bring life-threatening conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a few hundred thousand individuals, the cyclone center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Typhoon Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has triggered hurricane cautions for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island countries and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Typhoon Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 typhoon was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the hurricane center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the third typhoon to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to typhoon specialist Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic because 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Typhoon professionals previously warned typhoons might form in unusual locations later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most major threats and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, however might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain ought to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will begin to enhance from south to north throughout the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy